California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council (CEPEC) Meeting

CEPEC Reviews Methods for Rapidly Estimating Earthquake Hazards

Earthquake Advisory Summarizes Scientific Evaluation of Earthquake Predictions

The California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council (CEPEC) met on November 4th to review methods for rapidly estimating the potential hazards of earthquakes. The meeting was a joint session with the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council (CEPEC).

CEPEC is a committee of earthquake experts that reviews potentially credible earthquake predictions. An Earthquake Advisory is a statement that summarizes the scientific evaluation of the prediction. The meeting also discussed a new earthquake forecast by the US Geological Survey, California Geological Survey, and the Southern California Earthquake Center.

The forecast estimates the likelihood of earthquakes of various magnitudes occurring in California over the next 30 years. The forecast is based on a variety of factors, including the historical record of earthquakes in California, the current state of stress in the Earth's crust, and the behavior of faults in the region.